THE IMPACT – AT 11:22 A.M. ET:  We're starting to see the first impact of the FBI story on the presidential campaign.  From The Hill: 

Donald Trump has surged to within 1 point of Hillary Clinton in a national poll released Sunday morning.

Clinton leads Trump, 46 percent to 45 percent, in a four-way race including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. Johnson has 4 percent support, while Stein has 2 percent.

Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, led Trump by 12 points in that poll, 50 percent to 38 percent, early last week.

Clinton leads Trump, the Republican nominee, by 3 points in a head-to-head matchup in the new poll, 49 percent to 47 percent.

About a third of all likely voters said they are less likely to support the Democratic nominee in light of news that the FBI is investigating more emails connected to Clinton’s use of a private email server while secretary of State, ABC News noted. Seven percent of Clinton supporters say the new review makes them less likely to support her.

More thank half of likely voters, 60 percent, expect Clinton will become the next president. She is seen as more qualified than the billionaire by an 18-point margin. She has a narrower 8-point edge over Trump on the question of which candidate has a stronger moral character.

The candidates are separated by only 3 points when likely voters are asked which candidate better understands “the problems of people like you,” with 46 percent of likely voters saying it’s Clinton and 43 percent selecting Trump.

The poll of 1,160 likely voters, conducted Oct. 25–28, has a margin of error of 3 points.

COMMENT:  Please note the dates of the poll.  The announcement by FBI Director James Comey that new e-mails possibly relating to the probe into Hillary Clinton have been found was made on the 28th, Friday.  So that announcement impacted only one day of the three-day poll.  It's possible that greater impact will be seen in poll results announced over the next two or three days.

October 30,  2016